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Showing posts with label large. Show all posts
Showing posts with label large. Show all posts

Sunday, July 10, 2011

Large vans clog dealer lots, concern analysts

The General Motors logo is seen outside its headquarters at the Renaissance Center in Detroit, Michigan August 25, 2009. REUTERS/Jeff Kowalsky

General Motors logo is seen outside its headquarters at the Renaissance Center in Detroit, Michigan, August 25, 2009.

Credit: Reuters/Jeff KowalskyBy Bernie Woodall and Ben Klayman

DETROIT. Thursday, July 7, 2011 10 pm EDT

DETROIT (Reuters) - Big trucks are clogging of many lots of U.S. dealership, causing headaches for General Motors Co (GM.)(N) and other automakers and concerns awareness of the wars of prices and weaker profits later in the year.

GM earned much of the attention for its inventory of Chevrolet Silverado and GMC Sierra trucks life-size amounted to 122 days at the end of June. Which is about 50% higher than the 80 usually preferred days and above average still heavy industry of 99 days, according to Ward Auto.

Chrysler Group LLC and Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.T) are also to the supply of 93 days, while Ford Motor Co (f.n.) amounted to 79, said Ward.

"Clearly most manufacturers overestimated the kind of request we get for large full trucks in the first half," said analyst Jesse Toprak with the research site in line to buy the car TrueCar.

"We of the levels of stocks higher for large full trucks." Yes. It is an important issue? It is not at the level of the crisis, but the highest levels of healthy, "he said Thursday."

What makes analysts and representatives of the industry more nervous, it is if the US economy will depress the usual surge in demand in the second period. If buyers do not show, substantial incentives result - especially from GM - and drag down profits.

"This is what we would like to know," Richard Bame, Director of the national marketing of Toyota trucks, said fears of incentives higher later in the year.

"We thought that Ford was showing good enough deference", he added. "But we have not seen as General Motors and Chrysler.".

Buyer incentives for pickup trucks full size are $5,350 by the sale of the Sierra, $4,880 for the Silverado, $4,450 for Chrysler Dodge Ram, $3,750 for Ford F-Series and $2,654 for Toyota Tundra, said TrueCar.

GM raises more concern with the high number of trucks on the dealer lots.

"If the request is not back in the second half, this means that fire sale come from December,"Toprak said the risk of GM."" On the flip side, if the application recovery, the company will be seated enough with many trucks to offer, he added.

Buckingham Joseph Amaturo research analyst believes already that GM will boost its transactions, increase incentive spending in September by about $700 per vehicle. That would correspond to levels seen in January and February, when the No. 1 to the United States constructor has been criticized for being too generous.

Incentives higher by GM would force rivals to follow, injury benefits everyone, said analysts.

GM officials have tried to ensure that Wall Street that its inventories are not out of control and fall between 100 and 110 days end of the year.

Don Johnson, head of the GM U.S. sales, said Friday that a stoppage of production for two weeks in July in the company truck plants and a pick-up in the second half sales will help lower the level of stock. He also said that GM will never not aggressive with incentives.

Johnson said that GM sells a greater share of its pickup trucks Ford retail customers, requiring a wider range of trucks on the spot to meet the diverse needs of buyers in a segment where prices range from the low-$ 20,000 to the high $40, 000 s s.

Sizes different cab and bed lengths and types of engine in the application of pickup trucks higher inventory to ensure that a potential customer does not walk away, industry leaders said.

Responsible for Chrysler, which is managed by Fiat Italian (AIF.)(MI), and Toyota said they were satisfied with their inventory levels. "We are not in a bad place", Toyota's Bame said Thursday.

However, analysts are concerned because the costs associated with building big pickups are higher that the cars, and it is more expensive for distributors to maintain these inventories on their lots. Toprak worry especially that GM will have to provide financial incentives to dealers if trucks sit too long.

Efficient cars fuel receive much attention to the high prices of gasoline, but it is still of large trucks that generate large benefits. Toprak motor builders considers net of 5 000 $ to $6,000 per truck.

Analysts fear a great success for finance, GM. AMATURO, said Thursday Buckingham Research expects production of trucks in the third quarter of GM to be lower in the second quarter, 65 000 "which indicates a loss of 520 million dollars in" assuming that $8,000 per vehicle profit margin.

Ultimately, analysts fear that they have seen this story before. "The concern is that it looks more like the old GM in the once again," auto analyst IHS said Tracy Handler.

(Editing by Carol bishopric)

Tuesday, January 11, 2011

Beats of large gains can be insensitive investors (Reuters)

NEW YORK (Reuters) - pledge of revenues from U.S. companies beat analysts for just-finished fourth-quarter expectations but by translating the good news of strong gains in stocks will be difficult.

Estimates for the fourth quarter for the S & P 500 one sees clearly on the rise but are barely changed since spring despite these recent cheerful economic news - a sign that the company and analysts targets will prove too conservative once more.

Recent optimism has pushed the S & P 500 benchmark index (.)(SPX) up to 10.8% since the end of September. Analysts question whether a low storage bar will be sufficient to keep the stock prices moving higher as reports begin to roll into Monday with the results of the manufacturer of aluminum Alcoa Inc. (AA)(N).

"Simply because they are good does average market or stocks will rise." If a stock had a nice run, you could see a small profit-taking on the news, "said Robert Auer, Manager main portfolio fund SBAuer in Indianapolis."

In the fourth quarter earnings for the S & P 500 companies are expected to increase by 32 per cent last year, according to data from Thomson Reuters. In April, the forecast for the fourth quarter was for an increase of 31.5%.

Similarly, Brown Brothers Harriman growth projects gain 34% for the quarter, but "factoring in the underestimation of the analyst" it bumps up its 41% to 42% growth forecast.

"Normally high Beats get analysts to bump their subsequent quarters and that stopped happening in may," said Charles Blood, senior at Brown Brothers Harriman market strategist. The absence of adjustment for playful economic news "is another reason to believe that the estimates are too low."

Approximately 72% of companies S & P 500 has beaten profit estimates in the third quarter, well above the 62 percent in a typical neighbourhood, Thomson Reuters data has shown. Beats percentage was above average in recent quarters.

The U.S. economy grew at a percentage of 2.6 annualized pace in the third quarter, and analysts expect a gross domestic product to extend to a 3-3.5% pace in the last three months of the year.

BANKS, LIKELY OUTPERFORMERS ENERGY

Some analyses suggest a small number of major stocks have the potential to move the market. Banking and energy sectors to find market beats moving, according to an analysis of data from Thomson Reuters StarMine by Michael Tarsala, quantitative analyst for Reuters. StarMine weight forecasts according to analyst accuracy.

For Reuters Insider earnings report, see http://link.reuters.com/ted25r

Two stocks in particular - ConocoPhillips (COP.)(N) and Bank of America Corp. (BAC).(N) - could move the entire market due to their size and expected results, said Tarsala.

Financials and energy were strong performers of late, with the S & P financial Index (.)(GSPF) up to 13 percent since the end of September. The energy sector (.)(PSE) is 21.5% over this period.

The analysis shows of the 50 companies in the S & P 500 who could beat estimates of earnings by 2% or more, according to StarMine.

Business investment based on the T3 Denver Equity Labs provides the S & P telecommunications sector has the highest probability of a head surprising gains among 10 sectors of the S & P, based on his own research model.

Founder Mike Jackson said telecom jumped to the No. 1 to no. 3 spot recently in its list of sector and "has a chance of improving quickly" surprises.

Energy is classified in the second place, he says, but he noted that he fell into the No. 1 ranking recently.

With telecoms, "frontal factors that I significantly improves... feeling is improving, but is not reported in this way," he said.

Among the other big names who could see gains debate: Boeing Co (BA).(N), StarMine forecasts will be 2.9% above Thomson Reuters consensus estimates. and Dow Chemical (DOW) Co(N), 4.1% above consensus forecasts of StarMine.

StarMine forecasts Alcoa are only 0.4% above consensus, the data showed.

(Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch; editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)

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